Fiscal Treaty Referendum: “the outcome is still in the hands of undecided voters”

Worth noting the result of the latest Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll of voting intentions in Ireland’s European fiscal treaty referendum on Thursday.  From the Irish Times report

Asked how they were likely to vote on the treaty, 39 per cent of voters said Yes, 30 per cent said No, 22 per cent said they did not know, and 9 per cent said they would not be voting.

When the 31 per cent of undecided and non-voters are excluded, support for the Yes side stands at 57 per cent with No support at 43 per cent.

Support for the Yes side has increased by nine points since the last Irish Times poll five weeks ago, while support for the No side has gone up by seven points.

The number of undecided voters has come down by 17 points since the last poll.

The poll was taken between lunchtime on Wednesday and lunchtime yesterday among a representative sample of 1,000 voters aged 18 and over, in face-to-face interviews at 100 sampling points in all 43 constituencies. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 per cent.

Apart from reducing the number of undecided voters, the strong campaigns being waged by the Yes and No sides have resulted in stalemate with no significant shift in support since the campaign began.

But don’t forget those historical references – “Rome wasn’t built in a day and it didn’t fall in a day either…”

Pete Baker