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June 30, 2005
McCartney statements to be undisclosedThe court hearing the case against the two men charged with the killing of Robert McCartney heard from a witness who stated that nine men who "seemed to have weapons" followed Robert McCartney into the street before he was stabbed. The Crown lawyer Gordon Kerr, QC successfully appealed for the details of the statements to remain undisclosed. Note: On Slugger, all commenting is suspended on this controversial case but you can still send us views by email. However, we intend to keep this policy under review. Race less a factor than culture of violence?Though it's always hard to quantify such things, the apparent growth in race-related crime in Northern Ireland has disturbed many. Mary O'Hara in the Guardian has been back to the city recently and provides a thoughtful, thought-provoking analysis. In particular she suggests that the reason for the crime may not actually matter to the perpetrators. It may simply be that it has become the norm in some parts of the community. Thanks to Mark for the heads up! She draws on some insights gained from local research: Politicians and organisations such as the Northern Ireland Commission for Human Rights (NICHR) and the Institute for Conflict Research (NIICR) are pondering why a community so long ravaged by bigoted attitudes appears to be embracing fresh ones. Some speculate that Northern Ireland's legacy of violence makes it unusually fertile ground for racists and homophobes. When a young gay man was attacked outside a Belfast club last year in an ostensibly "gay bashing" incident, his assailant called him a "Fenian bastard", as if the reasons behind the violence were blurred beyond recognition - as if the violence itself, and not the target, mattered. PR first, rewriting history nextPatrick Murphy in the Irish News, helpfully transcribed by Newshound, asserts that the PIRA has already decided what its statement will say.. and that the dance has already begun. He argues that the current PR make-over will merge into a more insidious process by a Provisional Movement in pursuit of political power - "For its successful transformation from paramilitary to para-political it must pursue three inter-linked strands of spin – claim continuity of structure; reinforce its assertion of victory and, to justify its victory claim, it must then rewrite Irish history." Seventeen police stations to closeWhilst the closure of rural police stations is viewed with nervousness and even anger amongst most unionists, the SDLP has long advocated it as being in line with modern policing methods which use mobile communications and releasing more personnel for work on the ground. Direct rule minister Shaun Woodward is forcing the issue. But it's also hard not to wonder whether this an initial move in this summer's choreography? Five sent to jail over pipeline protestShell seems to have a penchant for getting its PR wrong. Many believe its case for sinking the Brent Spar oil rig was environmentally sound, but that it lost the PR battle because the public placed greater trust in Greenpeace. Now it has egg on its face again. After having won a court order restraining five local residents from obstructing work on the Shell Corrib gas pipeline, the residents have now been jailed indefinitely for contempt of court. Update: Local discussion on Castlebar.ie. Thanks to Setanta below for the heads up" Shell's managing director Andy Pyle told Morning Ireland this morning that they had tried to resolve the situation (sound file), but that the people concerned had not responded to their attempts make contact. IRA stand down would end Republican gaffes?It's fairly typical that in June there is little to report in Northern Ireland beyond the usual disturbance, or as it was last year, a comparitive absence of trouble. Sport and international conferences will no doubt give us something to talk about this summer, and of course we are expecting the outcome of the 'Adams Initiative' (a neat branding effort to push the now retired John Hume to the peace process background?). Noel Whelan anticipates the benefits of a stood down IRA. He draws attention to the price Sinn Fein has paid for the Northern Bank robbery, responsibility for which most serious commentators pin squarely on the IRA Army Council: The events earlier this year have also changed the context in which Northern policy is made in the Republic. Some (particularly Northern pundits) are very hung up on how the perceived threat from Sinn Féin exerts an influence on Bertie Ahern’s policy. However, the fastest growing party in the Republic, currently, is Fine Gael. If it repeats or improves on its performance in last year’s local and European elections, and if the Government continues to languish at its current low level in the polls, then Fine Gael will threaten more Fianna Fáil seats than Sinn Féin could ever dream of. The Government attitude to Sinn Féin and the IRA has become a significant leverage issue for the middle ground, middle-class portion of the electorate in the Republic where, like everywhere else, they are the key swing constituency. He also notes that this alleged IRA activity has given rise to a significant strengthening of Unionism. He cites Tommie Gorman speaking on RTE: Tommie Gorman made another point on Monday about how much of the optimism and trust which was around after the Good Friday Agreement in 1998 has since drained away. If anything that was an understatement - the hundreds of gallons of water leaking from the National Aquatic Centre are nothing compared to the trust and confidence which has seeped away from the peace process on the unionist side - and support for the process was shallow enough at that end to begin with. This has given rise to another significant event “earlier this year” which now has to be factored into the equation, namely the dramatic strengthening of the DUP’s mandate in May’s Westminster elections. Not only did the DUP spectacularly surpass the UUP, but it also gobbled up the support base of most of the smaller unionist parties and unionist independents. Parades Commission should not be bargined forIt seems that Reg Empey's declared focus on parade issues is being fought on a broader front than we are used to seeing from his party. A promising start for joined up leadership? East Belfast UUP MLA Michael Copeland has said that the future of the Parades Commission should not be used as a bargining chip in future negotiations. ICC Cricket Tournamentthe 2005 icc trophy which is being hosted locally starts tomorrow. opening ceremony today- thursday. 12 teams including ireland are involved with the top five qualifying for the cricket world cup in west indies in 2007. the opening phase games are being hosted in northern ireland with the latter stages in dublin. June 29, 2005Pride and parades...ONLY in Northern Ireland would a gay pride march require permission from the Parades Commission, a body set up to take decisions on a different type of testosterone-fuelled parade. The BBC reported: Jonathan Larner of the protest group "Stop the Parade" said it was "offensive". "Our outlook on this parade is a wholly peaceful one, we find the whole parade morally offensive," he said. "As evangelical Christians we believe what the bible says regarding sodomy - that it is a sin - and for that reason we want to oppose a parade that we see is promoting a sinful lifestyle." Now it's Microsoft XP as GaeilgeHot on the heels of Irish becoming an official EU language, Microsoft has launched Irish language packs for its Windows XP and Office 2003, in partnership with Foras na Gaeilge. Workers in Microsoft's Irish offices volunteered their time to do the localisation work, which involved translating over 600,000 terms. The packs are available for download from Microsoft Ireland McBride case to go to Europe...JEAN McBride is to appeal to the European Court of Human Rights after her latest bid to have the convicted murderers who killed her son thrown out of the Army. It's intensely embarrassing for a Government that throws out soldiers guilty of smoking a spliff to retain convicted murderers in its ranks, but the Army seems to have the rest of the State over a barrel on this issue. Somewhere... over the rainbow...Irish Eagle swoops on Thomas L. Friedman's article in the NY Times - "The End of the Rainbow" - in which Friedman suggests a narrative for "How Ireland went from the sick man of Europe to the rich man in less than a generation.." I say suggests because, as Ciarán points out, as well as the dubious assessment of comparative wealth, there are other factors attracting the likes of Dell that are not specifically mentioned. John puts his narrative forward here and others have joined in the comments. Order restored..?WHAT'S this? An outbreak of peace, love and understanding just as you were thinking the marching season was about to degenerate into another sectarian slugfest? Could the apparently groundbreaking deal between the Bogside Residents and Orange Order in Derry be a model for other disputed parades? Ulster Unionist and community relations activist Trevor Ringland thinks it could be; Sinn Fein representative and Garvaghy Road Residents spokesman Brendan MacCionnaith says no, you can't compare Derry and the Garvaghy Road. Sound and Vision?.. sheeshA quick note to the BBC.. What is the point of vision.. if you have to lose the sound to watch the Talkback Studio Web Cam? and you thought Google Maps was cool!?!Eszter at Crooked Timber, once again, finds the coolest download ever.. seriously.. this is amazing.. slight caveat.. check the minimum system specs.. and you'll need a broadband connection.. but.. Wow.. just.. Wow! Quote of the day...This one comes from the current Mayor of London, Ken Livingston, on the subject of the impending vote of the International Olympic Committee to choose the venue for the 2012 Games: "I don't think it will be clear until they announce the result." Bono, where's yer trousers?The Guardian's Angelique Chrisafis takes a peek at the Court Case of the Century.. and some quotes from St. Bono - "They sound like trivial items, they're really not. They are important items to the group and we take them seriously".. ah.. yes.. and there's something about Bono feeling threatened by this book.. The case continues. Bertie and Tony: NI's social worker team?Lindy McDowell kicks off her column with a morality tale which expresses her belief that violent men have been indulged under the aegis of the Northern Ireland peace process. She calls for some plainer speaking from government and excoriates what she terms the language of the Little Book of Patronising Pap. At bottom, she calculates that the two governments are daily losing trust and public credibility so long as the process of disarmament remains (apparently hopelessly) stalled. The trust has gone between the people and those in authority who turned a blind eye to the continuing violence and the intimidation. Isn't it time that Tony and Bertie publicly acknowledged this? That never mind the fact that we have lost all trust in the "good intentions" of the (still) most heavily armed terrorist organisation in Western Europe. Our trust in those who were supposed to oversee the disarmament of that terrorist outfit, has also taken a hammering. Ireland: barely visible from corporate France?Years ago (1980 to be precise) a Czech student I met fleetingly on a waterbus in Venice asked me where I was from. The single word answer "Belfast" only seemed to puzzle him. After trying Northern Ireland and then Ireland I asked him if he knew where Britain was. He said yes. So I explained that Ireland was the next piece of land to it's west. "Ah" he said, "America!" The whole island, north and south, had no substance in his (admittedly Cold War) world view. It seems that Seamus Martin in today's Irishman's diary has encountered similar problems in corporate France where the train bringing the news of partition in 1922 is overdue (subs needed): ...if you want to book a hotel through SNCF over the web. Everything goes well until they ask you the address to which your credit card bills are sent. You insert your house number, your street name and the name of your city and then you are are asked to choose from a list of countries. This list includes Antarctica, the Faeroe Islands, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Fiji, Kiribati and Papua-New Guinea. As far as I could make out from my not unlimited knowledge of geography, the only countries missing from the list were the mythical "Bongo-Bongoland" that Tory MP Alan Clarke made infamous - and, of course, Ireland. The response he got when he complained was less than sympathetic: I rang SNCF, who informed me that Ireland was part of Grande Bretagne. I informed them that this arguably had been the case until 1922 and perhaps the train bringing this news to SNCF had been delayed by 83 years. At this stage and for some unexplained reason, I was cut off. In defence of his criticism of French cook Ginette Mathiot, who having termed soda bread "pain d'Irlande" listed it under "Royaume Uni" (UK), I would have to say that the top ten soda breads I have ever tasted, have all been baked in Northern Ireland (which is in the UK, whether we like the idea or not)! But Martin is making a serious point. In my own experience, the general view of Ireland in France is marked firstly by language and only secondly by the island's distinctive cultural and political features. In fairness, we either don't/won't speak French or we speak it badly with an English speaker's difficulty over the French nasals. Whatever our feelings on the matter, in France we get dragged into the middle of an historical antipathy between the old enemies of England and France. And generally we are assumed to be on the side of the English. Nevertheless, it must be about time for SNCF to cop on to partition 83 years after the fact! Maybe it's time to tip them the wink? If you do get a reply, let us know how you get on!! June 28, 2005US 'Shock jocks' - balance shifting?An interesting piece in yesterday's Guardian about Al Franken and how Air America is beginning to make some inroads in to what to date has traditionally been a predominantly right week media haven. Possible future analogy for bloggers?
Leftwing radio talk show host Al Franken has won a 'breakthrough' award for his wisecracking war against the claims of the American right. James Silver reports Monday June 27, 2005 His three-hour radio show over for another day, Al Franken - to many liberals, one of the Last Great Hopes of the American Left, and "an obnoxious prick" to his rightwing detractors - steps out into the blistering New York City heat and wilts. A sore back explains his painful-looking waddle to the coffee shop. The Al Franken Show, on fledging liberal talk radio network Air America, has just moved studios from the skyscrapers and buttoned-down shirt chic of 6th Avenue to the rather more down-at-heel bagel-shop obscurity between 10th and 11th Avenues on the far west side of Manhattan. He appears to be still getting used to it. Is Franken, 54, over-doing it? His goofy features seem to adorn every third taxi in the city. There are the bestselling books (his most recent hit was Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them: A Fair and Balanced Look at the Right), the TV appearances, the political street-fighting, the corporate event pay-days, entertaining US troops abroad, and - perhaps, above all - his seemingly solo jihad against what he tactfully calls "the greedy, evil, warmongering bigots and scumbags of the American Right". Oh, and next year he will be moving his radio show to his home state of Minnesota as he gears up for a possible run for the US senate in 2008. Tonight the former Saturday Night Live star steps on to the stage at the city's China Club to become the first recipient of the prestigious New York International Radio Festival's World Achievement Award for Breakthrough Radio, which is "only periodically given to one radio on-air talent who has made a great political or cultural impact in his country and/or throughout the world". Award show hyperbole aside, there is no doubt that Franken and Air America - which has been going for 18 months and is syndicated in 65 cities around the US, attracting 2.7 million listeners - have carved out a niche in enemy territory. Political talk radio has traditionally been the home of rightwing shock jocks. Now a Jewish, wise-cracking, unabashed Manhattan-dwelling liberal, in a country where that is often a dirty word, has parked his camper-van in middle-America's back yard. "Rightwing radio still does dominate," concedes Franken, "but before Air America it was a monolith." The Right, he patiently explains, cornered the market in talk radio in the late 1980s when the Fairness Doctrine, which ensured that radio stations had to be balanced, was revoked. His nemesis, top-rated talk show host Rush Limbaugh, who claims up to 20 million listeners, launched his station and spawned a generation of copy-cats. Rightwing talk flourished, while there was no real equivalent on the Left. Franken's routine uses wry humour to debunk inaccurate claims made by rightwing commentators and politicians. Given his heavy workload, he secured the services of 14 students - a "ragtag bunch of Harvard misfits" whom he named Team Franken - to do the fact-checking and research required to write Lies. "What we do is set up a lie and then debunk it," he explains. "I think we are developing a kind of a cottage industry. I'm very entertained by the debunking process and also at the same time I'm outraged by the lies. I really do see the serious corrupting effect Fox, talk radio and many commentators on the right have on America. A lot of people in the mainstream media think it's beneath them to debunk it. And it's not. These people need to be subjected to scorn and ridicule. Someone has got to be willing to get down in the weeds and fight them." He cites a recent example from his show. "[Fox news anchor] Bill O'Reilly took [leading Democrat senator] Joe Biden's appearance on ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos and deliberately misrepresented what Biden said. Biden was calling for an independent commission to look at Guantanamo and other US detention camps. When pressed by Stephanopoulos, Biden said that although he personally thought the US should close Guantanamo, he said that he had introduced legislation to get a bipartisan commission to make the recommendations. "Two days later O'Reilly cuts it together to make it sound like Biden had simply said 'Close Guantanamo', leaving out any mention of legislation and independent commissions. Then O'Reilly himself said 'I believe there should be an independent commission.' He not only misrepresented what Biden actually said, he then claimed for himself the senator's idea. I mentioned this to Howard Kurtz, who writes about the media for the Washington Post. He replied, 'Well, people expect that of Fox'. No one in the mainstream press holds them to any standards at all." Franken is disparaging of his rightwing media foes. Rush Limbaugh is "fat" and "a hypocrite", Ann Coulter is "a nutcase", and Bill O'Reilly "a splotchy bully and liar". He says: "All three have very different pathologies which is really interesting." He has written chapters or even entire books about them, such as Rush Limbaugh is a Big Fat Idiot (1996). Franken thinks Limbaugh is "anything but an idiot. That was meant ironically." He pauses. "But he was of course very fat at the time. He was a huge, morbidly obese, fat man with a huge gut and a big fat ass. "Rush is someone who for years had been saying, 'Anyone who uses drugs illegally should be put away'. It turned out, of course, that he was doing massive quantities of prescription painkillers. The quantity meant that he had to get them illegally. There's no shame in addiction, but he's a hypocrite. He's a guy that talks about fam ily values and he's been married and divorced three times. Rush is a talented radio guy. It's just that he has no fidelity to the truth at all." Franken, who has feuded with Coulter, memorably described her in Lies as "the reigning diva of the hysterical right". He has seen nothing since to make him change his mind. "Ann Coulter just says terribly, awful, vicious things ... About Muslims, she said we should invade their countries, kill their leaders and convert them to Christianity. Or she said the only regret about [Oklahoma City bomber] Timothy McVeigh was that he didn't go to the New York Times building. These are things that pass for jokes for her. "O'Reilly was sued for sexual harassment by a woman who produced a complaint that included very, very graphic transcripts of alleged phone sex from him that he never denied. In fact he settled with her. Then he talks about traditional values versus leftwing people who have these terrible secular humanist values." Franken claims not to mind any of them having a pop at him in return. Indeed, to be reviled by Bill O'Reilly is "a badge of honour". He says: "If you are known by your enemies then those are three great enemies to have. And I must say the one who comes after me the most often and the hardest is O'Reilly. "He did me the biggest favour he could possibly have done when he essentially forced Fox to sue me over Lies. They took me to court over the subtitle - A Fair and Balanced Look At The Right - and claimed that I was infringing their trademark. [Fox News uses the phrase Fair and Balanced]. There was a hearing and the court ruled in our favour and we got massive publicity. I was hoping the case would go on for a couple more news cycles." Nor do the mainstream media escape Franken's ire for the "disgraceful" job they did reporting the build-up to war in Iraq - which he, of course, opposed vociferously. "What we have in this country right now is a cowed media. The Bush administration has successfully intimidated them and they've done that by denying access to correspondents who have challenged them. Reporters worry about losing their access, and thus their job. It's an awful situation." When Franken began accusing Bush of lying, it was, he recalls, "a big deal". But that's changed. "Now people are much more willing to say the government was lying, for instance, over the war." A smile creeps onto his face. "We need to broaden our vocabulary. Sometimes people aren't lying, of course, they're just bullshitting, or what they are saying is poppycock or nonsense." He reveals his next book is called The Truth (with jokes). "It's not about the media this time. It's about whatsisname? George Bush." From bloggers to pundits, his enemies are no doubt poised to respond. And when they do, Franken will be down in the weeds, waiting for them. "Cailc! Chonaic mé cailc!"WHEN people start to break out of their assigned sectarian boxes, it can produce criticism and confusion in equal measure amongst those content to be pigeon-holed - as we saw recently on Slugger. Pol O Muiri seems to enjoy the fact that cultural cross-fertilisation in Ireland is exposing the contradictions that infest the narrow outlooks of hardline British and Irish nationalism in Northern Ireland when he writes "people are not as easy to pigeon-hole as the fundamentalists would have us believe. Is the Orangeman who wanted to go to Cork any more a Lundy for walking another corner of Ireland than the Gaeilgeoir from Ballymurphy for looking at Maria Sharapova's knickers on TG4?" More sound and fury..As we noted at the time, the lack of detail from the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland [*ahem* - Ed.] and Wales, Peter Hain, regarding the re-arrest of convicted IRA bomber Sean Kelly, was always going to provide an opportunity for sound and fury from certain quarters.. and so it continues.."Peter Hain has only been here for a very short time and he has failed the test" - Gerry Adams.. but there was an interesting report in the Sunday Life stating that the UUP's sole MP, Sylvia Hermon has tabled questions, in the Commons presumably, to Peter Hain on the issue. From the Sunday Life report - North Down MP Sylvia Hermon has tabled a series of questions to the Secretary of State asking him if his officials had been in touch with Sinn Fein before Kelly's arrest. According to the report, "An NIO spokesman said Lady Hermon's questions would be answered in due course." Sinn Féin's inconsistency on killings and cover-ups?Iirsh Times columnist, Fintan O'Toole doesn't often enter the realm of Northern Irish politics, but when he does it is usually worth reading. This week he kicks off with an emotional portrayal of 1973 killing of a 14 year old by a IRA gunman who had been using her as cover to attack a British Army patrol. Although the IRA has finally admitted the killing, he argues that there is a long term inconsistency in Sinn Féin's approach to unlawful killing and cover-ups (subs needed). The IRA in Derry at the time was led by Martin McGuinness, now Sinn Féin's chief negotiator. After the murder of Kathleen Feeney it issued a public statement that traded directly on the IRA's reputation for telling the truth about its own activities: "The people of Derry are aware that we have admitted responsibility for our actions even at times when mistakes were made by us and civilians injured. We say categorically that the shooting of young Kathleen Feeney was the work of the British army and not of the republican movement." It later announced that it had murdered a British soldier in direct retaliation for the army's alleged shooting of Kathleen Feeney. He then asserts: If the IRA could establish 32 years later that one of their own members killed Kathleen Feeney, it is almost inconceivable that Martin McGuinness did not know this at the time. And that: Sinn Féin has repeatedly and at times eloquently demanded that there should not be a "hierarchy of victims" of the Troubles, yet it continues to operate in a blatantly hierarchical manner. While laconic, anonymous statements following secretive investigations are good enough for the IRA's victims, nothing short of full accountability is good enough for the victims of the British state and loyalist paramilitaries. Finally: Sinn Féin also complains that politicians who knew about collusion between the British state and loyalist paramilitaries "have never been called to account for their actions or for their culpability in the murder of citizens". Yet for almost 32 years, senior leaders of Sinn Féin knew that the IRA was lying about the murder of Kathleen Feeney. They knew what happened and why. And they kept their mouths shut. Who pays for the third world debt?The origins and continued development of the massive Third World debt are both surprisingly simple and complex. David McWilliams gives us a quick rundown of how it started and of the various attempts to solve it in the past. He has a particularly interesting take on those who will benefit if and when it is finally paid off. Empey has the character to turn party roundOver two years ago I asked a senior Republican who he'd like to see leading the UUP. "Reg Empey", he replied without hesitation. Reg certainly made an impact as minister of Trade and Entreprise amongst republicans with his frequent visits and public championing of economic regeneration projects across Nationalist and Unionist areas. It's of no surprise then that Mairtin O Muilleoir, veteran of that one time bear pit that is the Belfast City Council chamber, reckons Empey has the character and determination to turn things round for the UUP. Blair: IRA need not disbandTony Blair has given his blessing to the idea, floated earlier by Bertie Ahern, that the IRA does not have to disband. He said: "What is important is that the Republican movement pursues its aims by exclusively democratic and peaceful means, and that means an end to all violence and all preparations for violence". June 27, 2005 The UUP: Rebuilding from Ground ZeroThe Watchman sends us another of his think pieces on the UUP. Here he argues that the election of Sir Reg Empey gives the party the opportunity to rediscover its essential centre right values. This, he argues amongst other things, will involve adopting and promoting a non sectarian political voice if the party is to mount a future challenge against the DUP. But it must not lapse into what he terms "community relations-speak". By The Watchman If the Ulster Unionist Party bungles the next few weeks and months as it has bungled just about everything else in the last 8 years then it really will be dead in the water. It has to realise that the electorate has given it a savage vote of no confidence. Its former leader, who often seemed divorced from reality, might blame everyone other than himself for the debacle. But a shattered party has no such luxury. The post-Trimble UUP has not made a good start. The three leadership contenders publicly focused on internal party reform, not unimportant but comparatively peripheral. None mentioned the metaphorical elephant in the living room: the cumulative alienation of the unionist electorate thanks to an inept engagement with republicans. Trimble failed to grasp the interdependence of the IRA's political and military wings. He believed that republicans were on a road that was certain to end in purely constitutional means and took political risks on that basis. The result was a long list of failures: putting the unreconstructed IRA/Sinn Fein into power in breach of previous pledges, bungling the UUP's approach to policing, endorsing procedural chicanery in the Assembly, and an ideological passivity (Dean Godson's phrase) in the face of republican pressure. It discredited the UUP as a robust defender of unionist interests and the party's centre-right vote duly floated off to the DUP. The party may decide to advance towards a centre ground already occupied by the Alliance Party. That offers ideological purity but also a vote combined to bien pensant Greater Belfast. The Roy Garlands who argue for this approach have long been on the periphery of unionism. They regard an Olympian detachment from the concerns of most unionists as a mark of non-sectarian virtue and are happy for company in the wilderness. They are often as dogmatic as Old Paisleyites in their own way and have learned nothing from the fates of Faulkner and Trimble. (Their stance misses the lesson identified by T.E. Utley 30 years ago: that the UUP always suffers more from fragmentation to the right than to the left.) The unexpectedly high vote for Alan McFarland suggests there may be a future powerful push in this direction from a large minority in the party. Some may be attracted to a merger with the DUP but they should be more cautious. The DUP's shortcomings have been obscured by the sheer awfulness of the Trimble UUP. Despite profound changes within the party, a united unionism under the DUP flag poses lots of problems: · The party is still imprinted for the foreseeable future with a profoundly sectarian outlook. · Although many representatives have a well-earned reputation for constituency work, the flipside is a long-standing parochialism. The DUP has never properly exploited its Westminster presence and constantly misses opportunities to build up support for unionism outside the Province. Its involvement at Westminster in matters that do not concern Northern Ireland has traditionally been dilatory. · The tight control over the party exercised by a coterie at the centre would give enormous control over the future representatives of a single unionist party to a very few. · Finally, the DUP's opposition to the Belfast Agreement lacks credibility. Its fierce attacks on the UUP since 1998 have concealed a tacit acceptance of the Agreement. In its first negotiation as the lead unionist party, only the intransigence of Ian Paisley kept the DUP out of what would have been a suicidal decision to share power with Sinn Fein just before the Northern Bank robbery. One constraint on the vaulting ambition within parts of the DUP is a unionist party that can hold the DUP to account. Parties exist to win votes and seats. The UUP must start again to compete with the DUP over the key centre-right, which comprises unionism's centre of gravity. This has several implications: · The UUP must make a clean break with the past. Its overriding priority must be to rebuild trust and credibility with the unionist electorate that has been shattered by David Trimble's tenure. The UUP's key strategic misjudgment was to believe that the IRA was in the process of giving up violence and that forming the Executive would accelerate that process. It needs to apologise for its mistakes and admit that it has learned from them. · The party must differentiate itself from the DUP by trumpeting an assertive, proactive and robust brand of unionism that defends the quality of UK citizenship without reducing its cause to sectarian head counting. That brand must then be allied to sounder strategic judgment. Never again can a unionist leader entrust his own credibility and that of his party to the IRA. Many of its problems arose from Trimble's determination to do a deal with the IRA at almost any price. Never again can terrorists be got in government on the basis that Trimble permitted. The UUP must learn that there is a difference from setting out a non-sectarian prospectus and a discourse that just sounds wet. The difference can be easily illustrated. On his Let's Talk debut, Tyrone Howe, a likely rising star of the party, lapsed very quickly into community relations-speak about "reconciliation". At no point did he sound like someone who understood identifiably unionist concerns or would articulate them. When, say, Bob McCartney makes the same comments, he can do so without losing credibility as a unionist champion because of his well-known combativeness on other issues. Howe, admittedly intelligent and telegenic, sounded like an Alliance spokesman. Nothing in terms of his delivery or content will ever pull back a DUP vote. Unionism is constrained by a Belfast Agreement that is loaded in favour of Republicans. The DUP is discovering that the only basis for a return to devolution is another leap in the dark and putting its fate in the good faith of Sinn Fein. Unfortunately, it is not in the IRA's interests to wind up its armed wing and, in any event, the nationalist electorate will never punish Sinn Fein even if the DUP accuses it of reneging on a deal. That puts unionists at a huge disadvantage and will test the DUP's traditional unity and discipline to the limit. A key test for the UUP is to look beyond the Agreement. · The party desperately needs new faces that are not discredited by past failures. There is a deficit of rising talent. (Proof of that can be seen in the website of the Young Unionists that has run comment threads full of puerile gloating at Paul Berry's expense.) The UUP must creatively build new non-institutional links with Orangeism, for the estrangement of rank and file Orangemen from the party has been an overlooked factor in the party's decline. It must also reach out to other burgeoning cultural groups within the Ulster-Scots movement and hopefully draw on the grassroots talent there. · In terms of organisation, there must be a clear out of the Trimble faction from Cunningham House. May 2005 may have been the worst reversal but it was not the first electoral setback. A new leader will succeed or fail on whether he can build a sharp campaign machine to rival that of the DUP. The decay at a constituency level must also finally be addressed. Towering ambition and in-fighting should not be allowed to wreck any more constituency associations, as the sorry lesson of South Belfast should demonstrate. There will be no quick fix for recovery. But despite the DUP's current ascendancy, there is clearly a place for an alternative brand of unionism: constitutionally sound; non-sectarian; and non-parochial. The DUP may be less stable than it looks on the surface and its eventual leadership succession is likely to weaken the party in a number of ways. It may have cornered much of what talent there is in unionism, but it still has its mediocre representatives. It is beatable. The task for the new UUP leader is to show, through strength of personality, strategic direction and firmness of purpose, why the party deserves to lead unionism once again. A one-off opportunityThat's how Tony Blair described the statement from the IRA that both Governments are insisting on waiting for. That's a one-off opportunity.. with a credibility threshold.. hmmm.. Update Transcript of the relevant section of the press conference added Another Update Details from Joint Communiqué British-Irish Intergovernmental Conference added Final Update Link to transcript of joint press conference between PM Tony Blair and Taoiseach Bertie Ahern added. And if the opportunity is missed? Or the threshold ducked? Will the Irish and British Governments continue with the current [and past?] strategy as described by Secretary of State for NI [and Wales - Ed] Peter Hain in an article in The Times - But if you are going finally to crack the end of the process that culminated and then went beyond the Good Friday Agreement, these are the two parties[DUP and SF] that can most effectively deliver if they choose to do so.[added emphasis] And if they choose not to? Is there a Plan B? Or will the Irish and British governments continue to replay the scene indefinitely? Update With the BBC re-editing the original report.. sheesh.. I'm adding the relevant question, and answer, from the transcript of today's press conference Question: Prime Minister, just looking forward to your meeting with the Taoiseach this afternoon and the hope for an IRA statement sometime in the future, how difficult do you envisage it will be to persuade Unionists that Republicans are for real this time, considering what has happened in the past? Prime Minister: I think it is going to be very difficult to persuade Unionism of the sincerity of any Republican move, which is why that move has got to be clear and bold, because then it will have to result, if the Republicans do give up violence once and for all, it will have to result in a proper power sharing executive in which the Republicans are able to take their place at the democratic table. So it is immensely important that they do make this move, I don't know whether they will or not, but of course you know better than me that it would be daft to say after the events earlier this year that the credibility threshold was going to be easy to pass, but it can be passed, I am sure of that, if the IRA recognise that this is a one-off opportunity to accept what is now inevitable, which is that the only way that you are ever going to be able to pursue the cause that people believe in in Northern Ireland from the Republican point of view is peacefully, it won't happen any other way. And political progress has achieved a lot in Northern Ireland, but we have got to go on and make it achieve more. So it will be difficult, but on the other hand if it is done, and it is done genuinely and violence is genuinely given up, then the obligation then transfers to Unionists to make sure that they drop their opposition to going into a power sharing executive, and that is the situation really.[emphasis added] Another Update A Joint Communiqué British-Irish Intergovernmental Conference, referred to in the above question, was issued this afternoon - full communiqué here On the "Review of political developments" the Intergovernmental conference had this to say - Both Governments reaffirmed their commitment to the full implementation of the Good Friday Agreement. It remains the template for political progress in Northern Ireland. The Conference reviewed recent political developments, including the results of the Westminster and local government elections in early May and contacts since then with the parties in Northern Ireland. The Conference acknowledged that all political parties with significant electoral mandates had important contributions to make in advancing progress and looked forward to continued dialogue with each of them. The Conference agreed that any prospect of restoring devolved government on an inclusive basis was dependent on the rebuilding of the necessary trust and confidence. This required the IRA to definitively end all paramilitary and criminal activity and to fully and verifiably decommission its weapons. In the context of such an outcome being secured and verified by the IICD and IMC, it would expect all parties to fully play their part in the restoration of devolved and inclusive government in Northern Ireland and in the operation of all of the institutions of the Agreement. That would appear to build into the 'credibility threshold' the Independent Monitoring Commission's report[s?] Final Update Transcript of joint press conference between PM Tony Blair and Taoiseach Bertie Ahern available here. I'll just highlight this question - Question: Prime Minister, Taoiseach, are you both in agreement that you don't require the disbandment per se of the IRA, and secondly how would you characterise your own relationship working together given recent speculation? That would appear to be something for everyone, then.. not that that approach hasn't been tried before.. The strange success of 'Wimbledon as Gaeilge'Although the Sunday Independent launched a stinging editorial on the EU's recognition of the Irish language yesterday, their correspondent Jerome Reilly reports on an unexpected hit scored by TG4 over its coverage of Wimbledon this season 'as Gaeilge'. The success it seems comes from addressing the sporting needs of an Irish audience first: Figures show they have abandoned the BBC in favour of TG4 which took a gamble in securing the rights for Wimbledon for the next three years. Ratings figures out next week are expected to show that the All-Irish coverage has attracted a legion of new viewers. Last week while the BBC brought viewers every shot of Tim Henman's early exit from the championship, viewers of TG4 enjoyed a great match from another court, featuring Gilles Muller and French Open Champion Rafael Nadal - with Muller knocking the fourth seed out. Next week they have the Irish rights to coverage of the Tour de France! IRA should admit responsibility for Claudy?There are strange things happening at the moment regarding past regarding unsolved/unclaimed atrocities. The IRA, who effectively maintained a 'legitimate targets only' reputation amongst most nationalists for the duration of the troubles, last week admitted they had not only murdered a fourteen year old Derry schoolgirl but that they'd also killed a British soldier in supposed revenge back in 1973. Now one of the relatives of the Claudy bomb has asked that they also admit to that incident from just the year before. Thanks for the link...Slugger makes Tim Worstall's BritBlog round up this week, along with with controversialist Twenty Major (still smkoing in Dublin bars). Definately worth scrolling down through. Thanks Tim! Sir Reg takes over at the UUP helmInteresting result in the UUP leadership race on Friday night. Reg Empey becomes only the thirteenth leader of the party in its centenary year. In the short term it's probably a good result. Alan McFarland turned in an impressive 47% and took most, though not all, of the liberal vote. The good news for Empey is that they are also less likely to contest his victory, and knuckle under Reg's leadership, in the short to medium term at least. According to the Irish Times on Saturday, the key intervention came when David Burnside Mr Burnside asked each candidate in the event of the DUP entering into a power-sharing Northern Executive with Sinn Fein would he lead the Ulster Unionist Party into opposition. Mr McFarland and Mr McNarry told delegates that they wouldn't adopt such a stance. Sir Reg however said he would consider such an option, earning muted applause. Sir Reg during his election campaign indicated that he would not share power with Sinn Féin should the IRA effectively disband in the coming months. He said that it could until the next Assembly elections, in such an eventuality, before he would be prepared to accept republican bona fides. Astute enough. It communicated a hardline to the traditionalists when he needed it, and yet with a strong possibility that the DUP will insist on new Assembly elections before taking their executive seats, hardly binding in any practical sense. Howwever, taking the loose affliation that is the UUP and turning it into a tight and disciplined is a mountain for anyone to climb. Few doubt the UU house is still divided. He will some time and grace to get it right. The conservatives within the party will feel they have taken back some of the ground they lost under Trimble. Then again, they thought they were buying a conservative when they got Trimble! Can Empey keep them onside and at the same time create some forward momentum before what is likely to be a very tough Assembly election some time in the next one to two years? Bloggers and Journos: friends or enemies?In the indispensable media section of yesterday's Observer Rafael Behr notes that there is a tendency amongst some mainstream journalists to want bloggers to shut up believing that professional journalism alone is the only legitimate watchdog of power. The failed LA Times wikitorial experiment in last week was simply the latest skirmish in the cold war between big US journalism and its blogosphere. The description will be familiar to regular readers of the comments here at Slugger: What would happen if a newspaper invited readers to an editorial conference down the pub? First to arrive would be fans of the paper, keen to get involved. Next would be curious bystanders, drawn by the heat of debate. Last would be the drunken idiots, ranting and swearing incoherently until they were escorted from the premises. At closing time the newspaper would be left with no editorial - and a lot of spilt beer to wipe up. In France however, there is a much greater consonance between bloggers and journalism: 'Au blog, citoyens', screamed the front page of leftwing daily Libération, echoing the call to arms in the 'Marseillaise'. Inside, the newspaper devoted a double-page spread to the story of Christophe Grébert, a blogger from the small town of Puteaux who used his site, monputeaux.com, to report on the politics of the local town hall. He is being pursued by the mayor for defamation, a development that guarantees him worldwide internet martyrdom. June 26, 2005 Most useful?The Guardian's Online Blog wants to know - "What are the most useful sites on the web?".. as part of a six month review of their previous list... And this, spotted by Ezter, at Crooked Timber.. may suggest the NYTimes Technology editor might know a site he would like to nominate.. although it sounds more like a comment aimed at the NYTimes marketing department - STOP BUGGING ME If newspaper marketers think they are receiving reliable user information via those annoying site registrations, they should run their Web addresses through bugmenot.com, which offers quick user names and passwords to people who click on a link only to be confronted by a mandatory registration page. Some examples of usernames: thisisannoying; iwantnews; thisisjustsilly; whydoyoudothis. Drop your suggestions at the Guardian.. and then call back and tell us which sites you've nominated.. or not.. Empey, as UUP leader, to wait and seeThe Observer's Ireland editor, Henry McDonald, was able to grab a few minutes with newly elected leader of the UUP Reg Empey on Friday night... and it would appear that the UUP will not make any definitive judgment on the IRA's expected statement this summer until March 2006. Reg Empey doesn't seem to be in any rush to declare a return to any restored executive.. 'We went into government with republicans on three occasions just to give them time to change their ways and each time they soiled the nest. So we will only be interested in what the IRA does and not what it says.' Neither was he optimistic of the prospects of a complete end to paramilitary and criminal activity - 'I suspect they[PIRA] will do as they have done in Dublin and privatise their criminality, allowing ordinary criminals to carry out robberies and so on and then tax them,' Sir Reg said. There is also a longer article in the print edition of The Observer I have in front of me.. but for some reason it doesn't seem to be online. But in it Reg takes a couple of extra swings at the DUP, and Ian Paisley in particular - "He said he would smash Sinn Féin wielding a sledgehammer in the Eighties and he hasn't. He has never in his entire career successfully negotiated anything. Of course, Empey was likely to open his leadership term with a bullish statement of intent.. By contrast, Alan McFarland speaking after the result of the leadership contest was known is quoted in this report After the contest, Alan McFarland said the UUP, "now needed to rally round its new leader and move forward". Since then Reg Empey, speaking on the Politics Show on BBC1 today, has said they have met and discussed the situation - seemingly everything's sorted between the two of them and McFarland understands the position [a slight paraphrasing may be inferred]. I'd suggest that there's more discussions ahead between these two and Empey could do worse than to keep Alan McFarland as close as possible to his leadership.. no confirmation of who will be Deputy Leader yet?.. just a thought.. Update the BBC's Mark Devenport does the profiling here June 25, 2005Ireland's Greatest WomanThe RTE Radio's Marian Finucane Show poll is now closed and the results are in.. despite the extensive coverage [which probably skewed the result], disgraced Olympic swimmer Michelle Smith was not voted Ireland's Greatest Woman, that honour went to Nano Nagle, an 18th century nun credited with establishing girls' education in the State, just ahead of Mary Robinson.. although there was, IMO, a much more interesting candidate in fifth place - the sixteenth century pirate Grace O'Malley Google maps Ireland beautifullySpotted at Gavin's Blog.. Google Maps now has, newly improved, stunning satellite images of Ireland.. along with, as Gavin points out, large tracts of the rest of the world... and Gerry O'Sullivan has already been busy creating an aide-mémoire. A short selectionA treat for fans of the short story format, and fans of Colm Tóibín in particular. The Guardian has added some new tales to its online collection of short stories.. including Famous Blue Raincoat by Colm Tóibín. June 24, 2005 Whiterock parade called offThe BBC are reporting that the contentious Whiterock parade, previously scheduled for Saturday, has been called off by the equally contentious North and West Belfast Parades Forum - following two rejected applications to the Parades Commission to reverse its decision to impose restrictions on the parade - the NWBP Forum has said that a protest parade will be held in the Shankill instead. Closer than expected in UUP contestThe BBC are reporting a close, and probably closer than expected, first round of voting in the leadership race for the UUP. Reg Empey got 295 votes out of the 618 delegates present, but Alan McFarland has polled very well with 266 votes. David McNarry trailed behind with 54 votes and has been eliminated.. and it now goes to a second count. That's a lot closer than Reg Empey and his supporters would have liked and indicates a party that's still undecided about how to move forward. Update And Reg Empey has been declared the new leader of the UUP - "I am not a cloud bunny"The Guardian's Andrew Clark profiles Ryanair boss Michael O'Leary, who, regardless of your opinion of him - and he is regardless of your opinion of him - is in the business of providing transport for the massive increase in the number of people wanting to fly throughout Europe.. as cheaply as possible. He also has a penchant for withering one[or two]-liners. Thanks for all the blogs...The blogger at Talk Politics, thinks one of us at Slugger should sit in the not-a-politician slot on the BBC's Question Time. Where's me country hat tips us for staying awake through the UUP leadership race. Gerry O'Sullivan on the importance of agonistic argument. Thanks too for mentions from Diarmid Logan; Dosing Times; exit 145; Best of Both Worlds; the very excellent Tom Griffin; Paul the erudite Magyar; Kevin the disillusioned lefty; Mr Peter The Gudgeon Reavy; Buff and Blue; The boys (and one girl) in the Back Seat; Res Publica; Never trust a hippy; O journalism; An tImeall ag dul ar fheabhas; Incorrect use of soap; Free Stater; Politicalist; Sheila O'Malley; Irish Aires; David Williamson; the inimitable Felix Quigley; Steven at Everything Ulster; doChara; and thanks to Colman at the Euro Trib for occasional links in his thrice-weekly Irish news round-ups. Now repeat it all out loud in one breath. Sounds like a warm up for the U2 gig in Croker tonight! Confidence-building or -sapping..?THE IRA has admitted that it killed a schoolgirl in Derry more than 30 years ago. At the time, the IRA blamed the British Army, and killed a soldier in retaliation. Unionists have reacted with scepticism, perhaps seeing it as a cynical move by republicans to demonstrate - without conceding anything - to the two governments that they are 'moving on' before the next round of talks. Unionists tend to see such moves as minimalistic, not addressing their concerns. But then it isn't unionism that republicanism has to impress, and the cumulative effect of further moves may well - once again - force Blair and Ahern to adopt a softer line. Given that this admission addresses the concern of a victim first, it might be interesting to see if a pattern develops. There have been moves to appoint a forensic expert to locate the remains of the Disappeared, so perhaps that is something to keep an eye on. As there is a post-negotiation period where the IRA is expected to demonstrate its democratic bona fides, might we expect a drip feed of further moves? A decommissioning move must surely be on the cards, and while these confidence-building measures may curry favour with the governments, how will unionism react? Surely the DUP cannot remain outside looking in again? What direction will Empey take the UUP in after he is elected UUP leader? All these and other questions to be answered in the next episode of Peace Processing, Episide 847. Why flags should be treated with respectThe Irish News yesterday editorialised on the need for prompt intervention when an area is invaded by outsiders and festooned with flags as in the case of one area in South Belfast. Robin Livingston, however argues that there is an underlying problem of too little respect for what a national flag stands for. Although a committed Republican, he cannot stand the sight of the tricolour flying off random parts of Belfast's urban geography in apparent abandonment and neglect. How African governments gobble aidNot Northern Ireland, but sent to us by reader J M Lawrence, who has written on the subject of emerging markets in Euromoney, The Japan Times, The Boston Herald, The Baltimore Sun, The Boston Business Journal and The Cape Cod Times. He provides a litany of cases of corruption across Africa, and argues that a Marshall plan for that continent will just not work. Check this choice of two views from Tim Worstall. By J.M. Lawrence "The Bermuda Triangle" – where money simply disappears – is what Angolans have dubbed the confluence of their country’s state-owned oil company, Central Bank and Presidency, The Economist notes. In that triangle of resource wealth, money and power, far more than $3 billion dollars in annual oil export earnings vanish. Not a trace can be found on government ledgers. That Angolans were dying of hunger by the thousands in the late 1990’s, failed to compel an investigation into how the money needed to end hunger could remain unaccounted for. A clue, though, was supplied by The Washington Post, which reported in 1997 that the Angolan government was spending more on purchases of luxury automobiles for high-level government officials and their wives than on health care and education. The “corrupt elite” governing Kenya is plundering their country’s economy to amass personal wealth, The Economist reported in 1999. On that diversion of national wealth into Swiss-type bank accounts, the Roman Catholic Church declared: "To notch up foreign bank accounts at the cost of hunger, suffering, blood and death of others is a repugnant infamy," The Economist conveyed. The Front de Liberation National, governing Algeria, has doled out $26 billion to officials in their party. This personal allotment of national wealth was recently disclosed by ex-prime minister, Mr. Abdelhamid Brahimi, The Free Africa Foundation relates in “The Rape and Plunder of Africa.” Under the title “le sang des pauvres,” which translates to “the blood of the poor,” Liberation reported in 1992 that Mr. Moussa Traore, Mali’s former head-of-state used his term in office to steal more than $2 billion from that country. And, the “financial drain continues,” The Free Africa Foundation expounds. “So money is not the problem here, it’s the management!” the United Nations states in its May 4, 2005 report titled “The IMSCO Proposal/Report: Towards An African Solution.” The report relates that “Southern Black Africa” is “awash in oil and gas and they have more complete control of the world’s strategic metals: e.g. 99% of platinum group metals; 96% of chrome; 98% of manganese; 89% of diamond; 68% of gold; 97% of vanadium and 40% of uranium.” Finding: “These resources (sic) numbers strongly suggest that no one can successfully argue that Africans anywhere are poor, but rather disenfranchised.” Here the U.N. notes: “the world (sic) industrial nations are resources (sic) poor and badly need these resources.” Thus the U.N. determines that, "This wealth places Africa on the top of the Pyramid of the economic Resource War game." The report asserts: "the people of Africa… can and must insist…that African governments are not the owners of African land and wealth." But most of the continent’s leadership continues to demonstrate an opposing view. "Leadership in Africa, with few exceptions, is seen as an opportunity to get rich rather than serve the people," Mr. Tony Nze Njoku writes in Finance & Development, a World Bank publication. “Dishonesty, thievery, and peculation pervade the public sector… The chief bandit is the head of state himself,” Mr. George Ayittay exposes in “The Vampire African State” for The Free Africa Foundation. Mr. Ayittay finds that “case after case” demonstrates that most African government officials are "Faithful only to their foreign bank accounts…" In these foreign bank accounts, an estimated $140 billion had been illegally amassed by 1992, according to Nigeria’s President Olusegun Obasanjo, The New York Times reported. During a meeting of the Organization of African Unity (OAU) that year, President Obasanjo suggested that international financial centers should return this illicitly obtained wealth of corrupt African leaders. Why, then, was President Obasanjo later the same year requesting $64 billion in additional aid from the Group of Seven Industrialized Nations and Russia “when he could have asked the thieves [who] were sitting right in front of his very eyes at the OAU meeting” for the $64 billion, posited Mr. George B. N. Ayittey, Ph.D. Why hasn’t President Obasanjo asked the thieves at home for the $64 billion? For, “the money suspected to have been stolen by some Nigerian government officials and kept in foreign accounts [rose] from $50 billion in 1999 to $170 billion in 2003,” Vanguard reports. On these foreign bank accounts, Mr. David Asonye Ihenacho writes for Nigeriaworld: First, the sum of 170 billion dollars…is about 60% of the entire debt owed by the entire continent of Africa to the rest of the world…Second, who are these Nigerians with this large sum of money stored overseas? The sum of 170 billion dollars is by far bigger than the entire wealth of the four richest people in the world combined. The wealth of Bill Gates III of Microsoft, Warren E. Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway, Karl and Theo Albrecht of Wal-mart retail and Paul G. Allen of Microsoft combined does not rise up to 170 billion dollars. Individuals on the continent of Africa were transferring “$20 billion a year into bank accounts in Europe ” during the 1980’s, according to a former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, the Africa Insider reported. Critics of the government in Kenya assert that government officials there maintain their largest accounts "in foreign banks and that there is more money from Kenyans in foreign banks than the entire Kenyan foreign debt" of approximately $8 billion, The Washington Times wrote in 1995. "What Arab country has $50 billion in private savings stashed abroad? asked The Economist in 1992. Egypt - a country with a $35 billion foreign debt and where “customers fight over Mercedes sports cars that sell for $400,000” - was the answer supplied. And a note furnished was that this is a ‘where a typical monthly wage is $50, and rubbish is collected by small dirty children in rickety donkey-carts" As is the case for most of the Third World, for every dollar of foreign aid going into Africa, $3 flee the continent for banks in Europe and America, Mr. Philip Emeagwali informed the Voice of America in 2000. "Most African political leaders [have]…bank accounts in Europe," primarily in Switzerland, Mr. Emeagwali continued. "It is time the West helped Africa to retrieve the money our politicians have stashed in Western banks,” Mr.Ekoue Teko writes for New African. "If this is done…we will have enough to live on without borrowing," he finds. Not to do so will only perpetuate the ongoing travesty. On the problems confronting Equatorial Guinea, the Cape Times reported in 2004: "the root cause of the turbulence is very likely the same old problem which bedevils many African countries…And that is that the country's leaders are quite simply hogging all the wealth to themselves." As an immigrant from the Third World told me: "There is no limit to how much they will steal from the poor." Yet, British Prime Minister Tony Blair and the U.N. are touting a Millennium Project to donate more tens of billions of dollars to the thieving leaders in Africa. Mr. Blair and the U.N. assert that this Marshall Plan is needed to end poverty. They are blind to the fact that, as the Royal Africa Society states: "Africa has had a Marshall Plan several times over in the last 50 years and has little to show for it." Handling the truthWriting in the Irish Times, David Adams sets out his concerns about a Truth Commission [subs. req.], following a one-day conference, "Telling the Truth in Northern Ireland", at Trinity College Dublin, organised by Nigel Biggar, professor of theology at Trinity's School of Religions and Theology - "We met to discuss whether there should be some kind of "truth process" in Northern Ireland; if so, what form it might take; and, crucially, the many problems such a process would face." Despite the laudable aims of such a Truth Commission, I've yet to be convinced that, in practice, it would come close to satisfying the varied, and often contradictory, needs and/or agendas of the required participants. And Adams acknowledges those difficulties - Those of us who have promoted the idea of a truth process should be under no illusions about the difficulties inherent in such an undertaking or, in particular, the damage that could be done if it wasn't handled properly. He considers the reality facing those who would have to provide information for such a Commission to be viable - We have to consider, too, what incentive there could possibly be for people such as politicians, clergy or business leaders to volunteer information to a truth commission regarding their own role in the conflict. He identifies perhaps the most obvious problem for any Truth Commission operating in a society where much of the political wrangling remains embedded in competing versions of the past - Those seeking to inflate their particular "truth" at the expense of others' versions would try to use a truth process as a platform from which to continue the conflict by other means. And he ends with, IMO, an astute observation on the prospects for a truth-seeking process at this point - Unless people on all sides are willing to face up to the pain of objective truth and, further, have a clear and realistic idea of the limits to what can reasonably be achieved, then a truth process should, at least at this juncture, be a non-runner. Unless the circumstances are right, there would be a real risk of it further entrenching divisions or, at best, raising public expectations and then dashing them again. As yet, there's little evidence from any side that, even if the people were ready, the truth would be forthcoming. Derry and Belfast: a tale of two parading cities?Whilst it looks like the efforts of the Derry Chamber of Commerce to broker a deal between local residents and Orangemen, whilst the negotiations over the Whiterock parade are stuck (or is that non-existent?). The Parades Commission has not accepted representations from two different groups and a range of politicians to have a re-routing decision reversed. Caught between the unstoppable and the unmoveable, it hopes that between this year and next, "that something will turn up". Cross Border European Clashthe draw for the champions league first qualifying round has thrown up a couple of interesting ties. as well as liverpool facing welsh opposition, glentoran will play shelbourne from the league of ireland on 12th or 13th july "Securocrats": whose side are they really on?Newt Emerson however thinks that Republican proponents seem oblivious to the danger of pushing the British securocrat interference theorem too far. In fact he argues that the British intelligence services have stacked the game in favour of Irish Republicans, and that they are the main beneficiaries of any secret interference in NI. The intelligence establishment does exist of course but its true political agenda is clearly to make life as easy as possible for senior republicans. So the danger of securocrat conspiracy theories is that they can easily implicate senior republicans as well. Might a leading Shinner have lifted the phone and given the nod to Kelly's arrest, for some reason? That's no harder to believe than the existence of a hidden network of disgruntled spooks hell-bent on restarting the Troubles. He also give short shrift to the 'it's to placate the Unionists theory over Sean Kelly's arrest: Another republican fantasy currently doing the rounds suggests that Sean Kelly's arrest was a sop to unionists by the new Secretary of State to make up for his ludicrous lefty past. There are two problems with this theory. First, neither main unionist party has expressed any concern over Peter Hain's appointment. Second, both main unionist parties have expressed concern over Sean Kelly's arrest. In support, he cites: The DUP in particular fears that, because the details of Kelly's review hearing need not be reported, another juicy set of republican misdeeds is about to be swept under the rug. Perhaps Nigel Dodds should start complaining about securocrats – he certainly has the better excuse. Kelly arrest is act of provocationJim Gibney sees the arrest of Sean Kelly as 'an act of provocation', citing the case that revocation of license was previously used against Johnny Adair and that Kelly is simply not in that league. And still there is no clear answer as to why he over anyone else was lifted after the rioting in Ardoyne. Many, no doubt, will simply make their choices and fill in the empty space. Losing Congressman King...Endemic Anti Americanism is one of the key reasons that Congressman Peter King cites for cooling off on Ireland, and in particular in his support for Sinn Fein and the IRA. According to Ed Moloney, he hasn't set foot in Ireland since before 11th September 2001. It is hard to read whether it has more to do with the Bush charm offensive towards the liberal finge of the Republican party and the internal repercussions of offering public support to anti government guerrillas overseas, than with a singular disillusion with the Irish Republican project per se. However since the Northern Bank raids, he is clear what future the IRA should choose: "I would still support Sinn Fein's right to be part of the peace process," Mr. King said, "but I would be very critical of the IRA for not disbanding. No, they have to disband. Northern Ireland is at the threshold of being a democratic society." What will he do if, as is now speculated in Ireland, the IRA refuses to disband? "With the IRA, I will reconsider my relationship," he said. "The IRA really has to disband. Whether they do it this week or next week, they have to do it pretty soon, and if they don't, I will consider speaking out against them." An end to the 'imperfect peace'?Bertie Ahern gives the impression that an IRA statement is imminent. As discussed here recently this seems largely a matter for the IRA, more than at any time since the peace process began. The question is can the peace be kept after the statement and any unilateral act of decommissioning for long enough to suit the DUP. It would seem a political gamble. As ever, we wait to see if the IRA is willing to play. Bás Michael DavittFuair Michael Davitt, file 'Beat Gaelach', nó 'the Bob Dylan of the Irish language', bás Dé Domhnaigh i Sligeach. Ní raibh sé ach 55 bliain d'aois. Túgann muid ómós do, leis an cead cuid de dán 'saigse, Ragham Amú. Tá sé an bainteach: Ragham Amú (blúire do) Is bás, dar liom fein, fragairt, - Seán Ó Ríordáin ragham amú U2 ticket on auction for local NI charity!Chris Johnston is chair of the Youth Empowerment Scheme, a weekly mentoring programme for kids aged 11-14 from diverse backgrounds. He has a ticket for the big U2 concert at Croke Park. The ticket is seated – lower end Canal End (Category 1). Whoever has mailed him (chris[at]youthempowermentscheme[dot]org) the best offer by noon tomorrow gets the ticket. All proceeds are going to the charity. We'll keep you posted of progress, or at the very least the highest bid, when we have it! Blog thanks...Thanks to Andrew Sullivan for his plug of the Slugger piece on the prospects for an Northern Irish deal yesterday. We're probably well overdue a thanks to a lot of other bloggers much closer to home than Andrew. If you've given us a mention recently drop us and line, and we'll drop you a reciprocal link! All the news [that's not too shocking]The Guardian, in its media section, picks out some of the new BBC editorial guidelines. On their commitment to "accuracy is more important than speed", the BBC say - "We should be honest and open about what we don't know and avoid unfounded speculation".. It would be a refreshing change *ahem*. The BBC have also tried to minimize concern about the new time-delay to be used in live coverage of potentially shocking events by emphasising that it will only apply in specific circumstances... But should the BBC be editing out [no longer] live news images that they judge to be "distressing" for viewers? Ian Paisley leader of all the people?Brian Walker's been keeping an eye on some subtle changes at Westminster. Not least the greater attendence of Ian Paisley, who is now styling his interventions on behalf of the people of Northern Ireland, Walker suggests is now consciously enlarged from the previous normative definition of protestant Northern Ireland. Noteworthy amongst everything else was Peter Hain's advocacy for greater powers for the Welsh Assembly (subject to approval by referendum: Peter Hain's claim that he can handle double-jobbing has been put to an early test. Trying to settle squabbles in the (Welsh) Assembly by giving it greater powers is, indeed, a bold move. Last week in the Commons, he also learned that trying to forge closer north-south links - in this case with a vague and under-funded Welsh transport plan - can be a thankless task. The truth is north and south Walians traditionally don't care for each other much. All very instructive when it comes to dealing with Northern Ireland, perhaps. Daily Ireland passes its first testAccording to the Press Gazette, Daily Ireland has passed round one of the inevitable hurdles facing any new newspaper title. The figure (as reported here by Jimmy) exceeded the expectations of many press insiders, and now opens the way for the kind of government advertising that the paper had clearly hoped to access earlier. Michael Stone being questioned by police...Reuters reported last night that Michael Stone's presented himself to police in London and has now been brought back to Antrim police station for questioning. Contemplating the eye of the needlePaul Colgan makes his contribution to the endgame speculation on what happens next. He paints a picture of two large political projects, each having to climb through the eye of two very different needles. The DUP, with the business of annihilating the UUP done and the IRA gradually coming to terms with the fact that its continued activity is damaging the political integrity of the whole Republican movement. If the IRA is now finally removed from the scene, what do republicans do next if they want to turn the pressure up on the British? The only plausible answer would seem to be that republicans no longer regard the IRA as of benefit to t |