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May 30, 2005 DUP in cross-community power-sharing shocker... IT went largely unnoticed that while the new DUP Lord Mayor of Belfast, Wallace Browne, was indeed elected with cross-community support, it was (I am pretty sure) the first time ever that both a Lord Mayor and Deputy Lord Mayor were elected with cross-community support. This was testing new waters for the DUP and SDLP, as they supported each other's candidate - and there were some rather nervous councillors who voted last week in a way they never had before. From the DUP's perspective, it was certainly worth the minimal risk to vote for a nationalist Deputy Lord Mayor for the first time... What might have damaged the DUP in the past, won't now. The DUP is in a position of strength after the recent council elections, and it's only real critic could have been the UUP - who are severely weakened in City Hall. Mayoral elections are significantly dictated by wider events. It's a fact of political life here. So I doubt if this small-but-positive DUP gesture was made for completely altruistic reasons. Nevertheless, it's a little bit of visible political progress. As far as contenders for the Belfast mayoralty were are concerned, Sinn Fein are still in every other party's doghouse and were never really in line for the top two posts, post-Northern and McCartney. And Joe O'Donnell has just stepped down as Deputy Lord Mayor. There was no deal to exclude them. In fact, I am not aware of any deals having been made. There was no need. As the largest party, the DUP obviously felt entitled to the top post. The party's last Lord Mayor was Sammy Wilson between 2000 and 2001. After their electoral humiliation - losing four seats in the Dome of Delight alone - the UUP were in no position to demand (or give) anything to anyone. How on earth could any party possibly do a deal with a party that even split down the middle on the big night, with four UUP councillors not voting for the SDLP Deputy Mayor, Pat Convery, and four voting for him? I understand that Fred Cobain was the first UUP councillor to record a positive vote for Convery, perhaps shaming the others who voted after him to take his lead. We can probably expect more split UUP votes in the future, if Fred's conscience continues to niggle. I can't see how UPRG member Frank McCoubrey - who takes the UUP whip (and isn't Fred the group whip?) - can possibly agree with everything the UUP might do in future. No-one seems to have noticed that the UUP group in Belfast City Council is in exactly the same position as Sinn Fein on the other side of the chamber. Dealing with a group in disarray might present other parties with a problem - since half the UUP group appears not to be taking the whip on crucial votes - but so might dealing with an official body that includes someone who provides political advice to the UDA. Even the DUP aren't on the cringeworthy Loyalist Commission*. But gone are those halcyon days of post-Agreement UUP bonhomie with others of a similar disposition. Even if the UUP say it's going to do something these days or vote a certain way, you always wonder if it can actually deliver. Anyway, the Belfast mayoral field was narrow, and in terms of mandate and just getting a fair turn, the DUP clearly had the biggest claim. Alliance, who hold the balance of power, announced it's kingmaking decision in advance, after holding meetings with the other parties. Coincidentally, the only other Lord Mayor elected with cross-community support previously was David Alderdice, no longer of Belfast. David was also leader of the group when Alliance voted Sinn Fein's Alex Maskey into the Lord Mayor's chair in 2002. Such rare cross-community votes always seem to revolve around Alliance. Could it be though that the DUP has used the opportunity to its advantage? Nationalist criticism of the DUP has centred on its inability to share power in the Assembly (and elsewhere), and there have been many calls from nationalist quarters for the DUP to demonstrate its 'powersharing credentials' in the councils across Northern Ireland. So the DUP did. Sort of. I mean in its own terms, of course. So Sinn Fein is still obviously out. But by voting for an SDLP Deputy Lord Mayor, they passed Durkan's democratic 'acid test' in Belfast, though possibly not in Castlereagh. But since Alliance had the greatest claim to something (anything, quite frankly) in Castlereagh, having been the greater victim of past DUP exclusion in terms of posts, this was perhaps a sensible move by the DUP. Certainly Geraldine Rice deserved the Deputy Mayoralty in Castlereagh; Alliance has received only one other deputy mayorship in 25 years, and Sinn Fein used to quote the party's unjustifiable exclusion in Castlereagh in previous years as an example of DUP inability to share power. So the DUP can afford to be seen to be generous - but not too generous. It puts forward a moderate (relatively speaking) candidate in Belfast. It gets a chance to show that it will share power with - and even (gasp) VOTE for - Catholics and nationalists not, in its eyes, in parties linked to armed groups. In short, it will be entering the inevitable next round of talks with a wee carrot to show Tony. Yet this is still power sharing on DUP terms - ie, to Sinn Fein's exclusion. The DUP is saying that it will share power with constitutional Irish nationalism, but not - until the IRA has shown the DUP its bona fides - with Sinn Fein. That's pretty much everyone else's position too. One of Blair's two conditions for getting devolution back on track is that unionism must be prepared to share power. Even if the IRA doesn't jump far enough for it, the DUP will hold up these councils as examples of good faith. Maybe they'll even get a couple of sweeteners along the way; more seats on the Policing Board possibly or perhaps Andrew Hunter will get a seat in the Lords. The DUP wants more accountable direct rule, but I can't imagine much being given by Hain there, who sees it as a non-starter. Relations got off to a frosty start, as usual. Can't see Paisley having been impressed by Hain's political pedigree either. If the DUP is to ever learn that it should stay inside the process, some reciprocation from the Government may well help bind it further into the whole shebang. As Sinn Fein have found out, it becomes harder to walk away from the table if you can visibly demonstrate symbolic or real gains. If politics is about give and take, the DUP will seek its own 'concessions', as no doubt every party does when it deals with the Government. The DUP is 'doing' real politics these days. It's not standing outside like it used to. But how far is it prepared to compromise if the IRA's expected statement or action after its 'internal consultation' doesn't go far enough, as expected? Exactly how high is the bar - and will the two governments continue to hold it as far up as the DUP? As we revealed first on Slugger, even the US is taking a harder line on republicans right now. But how long do we have to wait for the DUP to be convinced that the IRA is inactive? Waiting games in Northern Ireland rarely continue long without the intervention of damaging events. In the past, political vacuums have eventually given way to violence. The summer omens haven't been particularly great this year. This current hiatus has been on the cards since Christmas, but if talks are to start in the autumn, groundwork needs to be done now. * Can we use the other thread to debate Ulster Resistance etc? Cheers. The silence is deafening!! Obviously no one wants to talk about the positive aspects of the DUP's pragmatic politics. Their actions certainly give the lie to the gloom and doom merchants' dire predictions of stalemate and sectarianism. Way to go, DUP! Posted by: 6countyprod at May 31, 2005 11:04 PM Well done those DUP and SDLP councillors Posted by: lamh_dearg at May 31, 2005 11:29 PM In my insomnia tonight I've turned again to Slugger - after a bit of an absence. Shockingly agreeable stuff Gonzo - a fine demonstration by the DUP that it can and will work with nationalists, but just not Sinn Fein. Their reason for not working with Sinn Fein is terrorism, not sectarianism, plain and simple as that. No doubt its not what many would have the DUP do - we can wait for all the whatabout calls and examples of grievances from Ballygobackwards Borough Council where someone didnt get Vice Chairman of the Junket Committee and its all down to DUP sectarianism. However, what we have seen here is politics moving, and the DUP showing that they can and will drive it on. If Sinn Fein now want DUP support for that Vice Chairmanship of the Junket Committee they have to ditch the guns. Posted by: yerman at June 1, 2005 02:51 AM Measured moves at the right time - this is the key to managing a peace process and bringing your supporters with you - UUers take note. Posted by: fair_deal at June 1, 2005 09:45 AM A seismic shift. Posted by: headmelter at June 1, 2005 11:00 AM Clever move from DUP re meeting Dr Brady. All sorts of spinning games going on as seen on front page of Posted by: Davros at June 1, 2005 11:12 AM Thats great stuff to hear from the DUP, hope this heralds a move away from the DUP of the past and a change of attitudes. An amount of pragmatism is required in NI politics, something that has been sorely missing from the DUP in the past. Posted by: Rebecca Black at June 1, 2005 12:22 PM The DUP is keen to be seen to be acting in good faith at the moment, and I find that they are - whether you like 'em or not - good to their word in political talks. If they say they will deliver something, they do, unlike Blair, Sinn Fein or the UUP. I think the DUP is being very clever at the moment, politically. They probably expect the forthcoming IRA statement not to be enough for them to re-enter government with Sinn Fein and need to lay some foundations now, so that the blame can be shifted onto republicanism at that point. By acting in good faith, it makes it harder for the two governments to point the finger at the DUP if things fall apart again later. Posted by: Gonzo at June 1, 2005 06:12 PM A DUP-SDLP Axis in the City Hall is also very clever realpolitik as it effectively alters the dynamic in the City Hall. In the past it was UUP+DUP vs. SDLP=SF/IRA and whoever could get Alliance on-side won. By teaming up with the SDLP, the DUP have left Alliance and the Ulster Unionists nowhere to go except to Sinn Fein - for which they would get flayed alive at election time. Alliance are no longer the king-makers if this pact can hold together. Posted by: Carrington at June 1, 2005 06:31 PM A DUP-SDLP Axis in the City Hall is also very clever realpolitik as it effectively alters the dynamic in the City Hall. In the past it was UUP+DUP vs. SDLP=SF/IRA and whoever could get Alliance on-side won. By teaming up with the SDLP, the DUP have left Alliance and the Ulster Unionists nowhere to go except to Sinn Fein - for which they would get flayed alive at election time. Alliance are no longer the king-makers if this pact can hold together. Posted by: Carrington at June 1, 2005 06:31 PM SDLP + NOT SDLP = Sorry. Posted by: Carrington at June 1, 2005 06:32 PM "Clever move from DUP re meeting Dr Brady. All sorts of spinning games going on as seen on front page of this mornings Daily Ireland." I wonder if Doc paisley ever receives this award Baroness Thatcher has just received from the catholic Church.? Highest Catholic Church Honour for Thatcher Baroness Thatcher today received the highest honour awarded by the Catholic Church as she was invested into an ancient sacred order at Westminster Cathedral. The former Conservative Prime Minister was said to be “honoured” at being recognised for her work to promote better understanding and dialogue between different faiths. She was made Dame Grand Cross of the Royal Order of Francis I in a ceremony presided over by Cardinal Francesco Pompedda – the most senior Vatican cardinal to visit Britain since the Pope’s visit in 1982. Posted by: G2 at June 1, 2005 06:32 PM Gonzo I don't think people are interested in clever moves, people would rather their politicians stopping trying to score cheap points off eachother and actually get on with the business of making some progress. Maybe then the voter turn out wouldn't be so dismal. Posted by: Rebecca Black at June 1, 2005 08:43 PM "Shockingly agreeable stuff Gonzo - a fine demonstration by the DUP that it can and will work with nationalists, but just not Sinn Fein. Their reason for not working with Sinn Fein is terrorism, not sectarianism, plain and simple as that." If powersharing with nationalists was so easy, it would have happened long ago. Like, 70 years ago. The truth is partially that the DUP are starting to moderate their position, just as Trimble did, and secondly as Gonzo has said there is a political motivation for this. Posted by: Comrade Stalin at June 1, 2005 09:01 PM I'm about to post more on this, so watch out for a reply to pete, although it applies to this one too. Hope you chip in Comrade Stalin and Rebecca. I find the DUP positioning fairly fascinating, to be honest. Very interesting. I have the feeling - which is no more than a hunch at the most - that the DUP might well be able to deliver (ie, bring it's 'people' to a new position, as Sinn Fein are doing) in a way that the UUP never could. It's the reason why David Burnside is no longer MP for South Antrim... you know where you stand with Willie McCrea, whether you agree with him or not. Combine that with some sharp, secular political thinkers - who still have some way to go, but are within the framework of the democratic arena - and the DUP could find itself the only voice for mainstream unionism very soon. If not immediately. The UUP is dead. The funeral was ages ago. Let's move on everyone... Posted by: Gonzo at June 2, 2005 04:12 AM |
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