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May 11, 2005 Crime, but any punishment..? MARK Durkan can afford to allow himself a little dig at the critics, after defying the pundits with the general election performance of the SDLP (I had them on two seats, so humble pie for me on that count). He also finds himself strengthened enough within his party to dismiss all notions of a merger with any party in the Irish Republic, particularly Fianna Fail. Curiously, Durkan says that he wants to get the North South Interparliamentary Forum and the North South Consultative Forum set up as "[t]hose will provide natural and organic realignment over time, realignment that will express itself in terms that are not about blunt mergers." And noting the support the SDLP received from politicians in the Republic, Durkan added: "We are proud of and welcome the support and endorsement of Fianna Fail, Fine Gael and Labour and we want to work with those parties in reconvening the Forum for Peace and Reconciliation on the issue of Irish unity. What? No mention for the PDs? *snigger* The BBC reported that there may have been a 'McConville factor' that helped dampen Sinn Fein chances. Did the SDLP play the 'criminality card' much in Derry? If so, is that perceived reaction any indication of greater opposition within nationalism (in Derry, at least) to paramilitary and related criminal activity? Perhaps. Perhaps not. But if it is, maybe Durkan should have mentioned Michael McDowell in his 'thank you' list. After all - if he hadn't challenged Sinn Fein's Derry candidate Mitchel McLaughlin in a TV debate on whether Jean McConville's killing was a murder or not, Durkan might not be in the same, possibly even stronger, position - in Derry, at least. * * * ...anyone think McDonnell benefited from any 'McCartney effect'? Or was it a case of unionists voting tactically? The Devenny vote has been described by some as "holding up well in very difficult circumstances", although Alliance might disagree. Maskey's share of the vote rose by 1.4 percent in South Belfast since 2001's general election, and the actual number of votes was almost identical. But it was still more than 1,000 less than he got in the Assembly election in 2003. McDonnell's share of the vote rose by 1.7 percent since he last stood for Westminster. It was down about a 1,000 on that 2001 General Election, but up by more than 3,000 votes since the Assembly 2003 poll, when they got a 23% share. In discussions last night it was generally agreed that this was Durkan saying *I'm the leader, folks*. It is hard to read between the lines of what must be the most obscure political communique in years, but the gist seems to be - we're not for merger, but of course we will merge. And in the words that classic proverb - if not now, then when? Posted by: Alan at May 11, 2005 07:08 AM Pottinger was always going to be a hard seat to hold for SF.SF won it the last time by 33 votes and that was the first time a nationalist had ever been elected in E.Belfast. Odds were the transfer system would have benefited Alliance. Posted by: peter at May 11, 2005 09:02 AM I am genuinely amazed and more than a little perturbed by the extraordinary magnaimity afforded to the SDLP in what we might term thye "establishment" media. Posted by: Amazed at May 11, 2005 09:18 AM Amazed you may well have a good point about the media being less critical than it should be of SDLP policy and/or statements, but name-calling and victimhood won't convince anyone given the obvious disdain for the SDLP apparent in your post. Why should the media attack a party just for losing support? I would suggest it more useful to look at the reasons for the decline rather than engage in gloating and/or verbal attacks. The media (with the exception of the Daily Ireland) aren't there to promote Sinn Fein. Posted by: beano; EverythingUlster.com at May 11, 2005 09:58 AM Amazed: I like your style. Would you care to write an analysis piece for Slugger? Posted by: Mick at May 11, 2005 10:17 AM Where is the caustic diatribe for a party on the wane on the other hand, as pointed out in the Grauniad article blogged by our esteemed leader :) "Sinn Féin's share fell back slightly from 2004's European elections, while the SDLP's advanced." Posted by: Davros at May 11, 2005 10:25 AM Looks like Derry,not West Tyrone,was the SDLP's Stalingrad. Posted by: objectivist at May 11, 2005 04:23 PM What happened in Derry is interesting. Republicans in Derry truly felt that the seat was within their grast, hence their pre-election confidence. This may have been a tactical mistake as a unionist plus a sleeping middle class catholic vote rallied to the save the SDLP from oblivion. Posted by: JD at May 11, 2005 04:35 PM Mick, I'd love to. Send me what you want and will see how I'm fixed. Posted by: Amazed at May 11, 2005 04:56 PM At seems that in the short term the Balkanisation of the SDLP that was practised by Hume, Mallon and Mc Grady helped to win the SDLP two seats. However, Newry & Armagh shows that this is a short term phenomena. In virtually every other area they are crumbling. Sth Belfast will be unionist again in 4 years. The SDLP had a tremendous amount of goodwill from the media and Free State politicos, the intervention of whom was used as a further weapon to beat SF. SF was under scrutiny like never before, result, the SDLP who should have prospered fell even further. Posted by: PatMcLarnon at May 11, 2005 06:13 PM Pat "Sth Belfast will be unionist again in 4 years." It almost sounds like you're willing it to be so. Don't you think it's better in the hands of McDonnell than Spratt? Posted by: middle-class taig at May 11, 2005 07:14 PM why assume fianna fail to be a partner for the sdlp, surely fine gael is their natural hinterland, both being firmly of the partitionist mindset,which both disguise as,"look this is the way it is and until it changes " and then neither even pretend to be trying to end partition which for nationalists in the north is the be all and end all.This is why sinn fein ,in spite of attacks by 3 governments and an impressive list of media organisations on two continents,continued to make gains.Post nationalism.....no thanks! Posted by: jim at May 12, 2005 11:39 AM "The SDLP had a tremendous amount of goodwill from the media" What news coverage were you watching in the run-up to the elections??? Certainly not the same broadcasts I was watching! The media WRONGLY, UNFAIRLY and CONSTANTLY predicted defeat the entire way though the campaign! Posted by: Obviously more objective at May 13, 2005 09:22 AM |
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