![]() |
|
You are here Home | Parties | Arafat may be a closer fit Next or Previous « Blogging and Journalism: friends or enemies? | Main | Apologies... »
SOS - Save Our Slugger!
Help fund Slugger's new software: Or mail it direct to Slugger! |
March 01, 2005 Arafat may be a closer fit In The Guardian, Martin Kettle argues that, rather than Adams' preferred analogy with South Africa and, by extension, Nelson Mandela, Gerry Adams' role is more akin to Yasser Arafat - Unable to complete the transition from violent to peaceful politics, dependent on the networks of dishonesty on which his authority rests AS he points out, the forthcoming elections, north and south, are being seen in some quarters as an 'existential crisis' for Sinn Féin - Much has been said in the past few days about this being an existential crisis for the republican movement. It is, we are told, make your mind up time for Adams and his forces. Do they take the political road, renouncing criminality and violence? Or do they remain where they are today, half inside and half outside the political system, nurturing the creative ambiguities in which they specialise and retaining firm hold on what senior Provisionals apparently just call the tactical use of armed struggle? But, as he acknowledges, the constancy of Sinn Féin's polling figures, for their core support, at around the 9% level in the Republic, and the likelihood of no great surprises in the Westminster and local government elections in the north - despite what some may wish - mean that a more probable outcome is an 'opinion freeze' - This tells us that the "make your mind up time" scenario may be naive. Adams's standing is down because he has lost support among people who flirt with Sinn Féin. Core support, on the other hand, though modest, is holding up remarkably well. The Ard Fheis may be less critical than Sinn Féin's critics would like. ... It would be nice to think that the exposure of republican duplicity over the last two months would provide a catalyst that would enable Irish opinion, north and south, to spurn Sinn Féin once and for all. Unfortunately, life is not like that. A more probable outcome is that these recent events may freeze opinion roughly where it is today. Large majorities, north and south, will continue to reject Sinn Féin and the IRA. Significant minorities, larger in the north than the south, will go on supporting them.[emphasis mine] As a result, Kettle suggests, there will be no crossing of the rubicon, no commitment on an end to criminality to the satisfaction of the Irish and British Governments and no political progress. Meanwhile, the rackets and the robberies, the beatings and the blackmail will continue. Too weak to succeed but too strong to defeat, Sinn Féin may stay locked in its parallel universe well into its second century. Themselves alone. It's a comparison that Sinn Féin supporters will, now, probably reject, but the longer the current impasse continues, the more likely that comparison will be seen as being closer to the truth.. and it's a comparison that suggests another question - Do we now have to wait for the next leadership of Sinn Féin? I was thinking more along the lines of Kaiser Sose.
Posted by: jimmyquickswipe Excellent article!
Posted by: spirit-level Adams should never have been compared to Mandela, spirit-level Not sure in precise terms how a leadership challenge would work, except the challenger would need to be one brave individual.
Posted by: Jacko I suggest slugger copyright its material. I drew the comparison with Arafat months ago on here.
Posted by: fair_deal One of the best political photo's I have ever seen - page 123 "walking along the Border by Colm Tóibín.
Posted by: Davros A fairly short-sighted obvious piece which blatantly overlooks the ANC's own support for Sinn Fein and the friendship between Mandela and Adams.
Posted by: Circles Thanks Jacko
Posted by: spirit-level Mandela? The man is more Mandleson than Mandela.
Posted by: Ringo S-L write to Robbie Smyth. He's very helpful.
Posted by: Davros Circles - who did Nelson Mandela publicly thank for their support - Sinn Féin or the British ? ;)
Posted by: Davros Davros - and who have sent repeated high profile delegations (including Thao Mbeki) over to work with grass roots Sinn Fein members? (as well as playing host to SF delegations travelling to SA).
Posted by: Circles Davros
Posted by: spirit-level Circles spirit-level
Posted by: Jacko That may be so Jacko, but there was / is undeniably a degree of solidarity between the ANC and the Republican Movement from a time before the ceasefires.
Posted by: Circles Mandela did not refer to Gerry Adams as Comrade Gerry for nothing Absolutely - the IRA/ANC connection was as vibrant as the Loyalist/South African Secret Service connection. However, that does not make the role of the Republican Movement in NI remotely comparable to that of the ANC in South Africa. Does Mbeki remind one of Gerry Adams these days? You know, graying beard, pipe, intolerance of internal dissent, egomania...
Posted by: Young Fogey Would John Gotti be a more accurate comparison?
Posted by: SeamusG "Would John Gotti be a more accurate comparison?" No
Posted by: James Okay, well, if we must have a South African paramilitary leader as a comparison for Gerry, what about Eugene Terreblanche?
Posted by: SeamusG SeamusG et al The point made at the beginning of the article (go read it if you haven't) is that the analogy, made by Adams, between N Ireland and South Africa is itself false.
Posted by: peteb This is just so lazy, you have to wonder if the Guardian editor has any respect for his readers. Surely anybody with an English O Level could grind out a 1,000 word comparison of any politico with any historical/fictional/international figure. I sometimes think our well paid opionators pluck two names from a hat and rattle off these articles before breakfast just for a laugh. How long before we see some thoughtful piece on the similarities between Ian Paisley Snr and John Paul ll? Or Marilyn Monroe with Che Guevara? How about Ian with Marilyn, just for a bit of a challenge.
Posted by: barney How about Ian with Marilyn, just for a bit of a challenge Go for it, barney. It will be a laugh if nothing else.
Posted by: Young Fogey burney
Posted by: spirit-level Notes for an Op-Ed piece comparing Marilyn Monroe to Ian Paisley 1. Think “Candle in the Wind.”
Posted by: Alan McDonald SL "Or are you just distracting from the original Read it again SL, I talked of little else. The (grandly titled) polemic is lazy, obvious, laboured and bollix. I could do a better job comparing MM with Dr No.
Posted by: barney YF hints, correctly, that the comparison is more Adams-MBeki than Adams-Mandela. Mandela's genius lay in the fact that he recognized the response to Afrikaner Nationalism was not African Nationalism, but non-Nationalism. His vision was of a common South Africanism, not dominance of any one group by another. That is completely different from SF's vision of an Ireland in which it and its friends in the IRA are considerably more equal than everyone else. Adams should never have been compared to Mandela, Well said.
Posted by: IJP spirit-level "Can any one tell me what is the mechanism within Sinn Fein for a leadership challenge" It's very simple. Every Cumann in the country can nominate any party member for election to the Officer Board of the party and to the Ard Chomhairle. The Officer Board and Ard Chomhairle are re-elected at the Ard Fheis every year, every Cumann in the country sends two voting delegates to the Ard Fheis. The new Officer Board and new Ard Chomhairle will be elected this weekend. If you're expecting a leadership heave though then don't hold your breath. lol As much as all of Sinn Féin's political opponents would like to think that the party is in 'free-fall' the reality is that all of the attacks on the party are serving to galvanise the membership in a very real and substantial way. Nobody is under any other illusion than that the success of Sinn Féin has provoked these attacks. We know that republicans did not rob the Northern Bank. We know that the killing of Robert McCartney was wrong. But we also know that Sinn Féin is not a 'criminal conspiracy' and these attempts to smear every one of us are only serving to deepen the resolve of an already very committed activist base. Sinn Féin's vote will be up in Meath. Sinn Féin will win extra seats in the May elections - and what will our opponents strategy be then? We're still not going away you know! ;-)
Posted by: Liam Yes Liam, and we all know as well that those guys who were sentenced last week weren't on their way to kidnap somebody after flagging down his/her vehicle while dressed in fake garda uniforms. Keep taking the tablets. Ball not Man Please Jacko A.U.
Posted by: Jacko Revolutionary croneyism and a refusal to negotiate a settlement is much safer than democracy. You get to stay the boss, everybody sends you aid, and the fundis don't get to stab you in the back as you bend down to sign on the dotted line.
Posted by: aquifer Posted by: IJP at March 1, 2005 09:46 PM Mandela's genius lay in the fact that he recognized the response to Afrikaner Nationalism was not African Nationalism, but non-Nationalism. His vision was of a common South Africanism, not dominance of any one group by another. Non-Racialism is the enduring legacy of the South African Communist Party on the ANC and it predates Nelson Mandela.
Posted by: Hector There are some people who look into a future with Adams and see Mugabe rather than Mandela.
Posted by: Richard Delevan My Grandfather always said nothing will ever progress here until Paisley goes which was depressing enough but now we have to wait until Adams "leaves" too!!
Posted by: DessertSpoon Liam - This is pantomime stuff. The more I hear of this the more it appears the term 'committed' applies to the Sinn Fein activisists. Nobody (by which you mean the committed activist base is under any other illusion the success of Sinn Féin has provoked these attacks.
You KNOW that republicans didn't rob the bank. (Please, stop saying this sort of thing. We all know it is a lie, and it is getting very tedious). Aside from the fact that this is a broader statement than anything the Sinn Fein leadership has come out with (they merely said it wasn't the IRA), again, doesn't it strike you as odd that even though the majority of people north and south think the IRA did it not one person in Sinn Fein thinks differently from the leadership? There can only be a couple of reasons for this: As Gerry Kelly can't stop himself saying when he gets into a bit of a fluster - 'its crystal clear and you can't have it both ways'. We're still not going away you know! ;-)
Posted by: Ringo Hector Of course there were others who recognized this before Mandela. But I would distinguish 'common South Africanism' from 'South African nationalism'. Nationalism, in most European contexts, is about forming a nation-state around a (n often mythical) 'shared past'. Mandela wanted to form one around a 'shared future', recognizing that the past was utterly divisive and a line had to be drawn under it (while not ignoring its legacy, of course). Unfortunately the contemporary ANC most certainly is not loyal to Mandela's vision. It is an African nationalist organization which seeks to replace the white elite with a (specific) black elite rather than with a democratic elite. That, I fear, will be the end for South Africa just as it was for just about every other African country.
Posted by: IJP There are some people who look into a future with Adams and see Mugabe rather than Mandela. I was reading down and wondering if anyone would suggest our good friend Bob. It certainly wouldn't surprise me too much.
Posted by: beano That, I fear, will be the end for South Africa just as it was for just about every other African country. There are reasons why South Africa doesn't need to end up like 'just about every other African country' (slight exaggeration on your part, I think), notably the vibrancy of its media and civic space. Personally I think Mbeki is going mad. Vicious, pre-emptive attacks on Desmond Tutu don't strike me as being all that clever, even if you can win any external election without batting an eyelid.
Posted by: Young Fogey "...but there was / is undeniably a degree of solidarity between the ANC and the Republican Movement from a time before the ceasefires. Mandela did not refer to Gerry Adams as Comrade Gerry for nothing." That solidarity doesnt' seem much of a distinction. The ANC embraced and still remain friends with other lovely characters - such as Mugabe, Assad and Gaddafi.
Posted by: Peter Nolan Posted by: IJP at March 2, 2005 11:14 AM Unfortunately the contemporary ANC most certainly is not loyal to Mandela's vision. It is an African nationalist organization which seeks to replace the white elite with a (specific) black elite rather than with a democratic elite. That, I fear, will be the end for South Africa just as it was for just about every other African country. -----
Posted by: Hector YF 'just about every other African country' (slight exaggeration on your part, I think), Really? Name a functional democracy in Africa and I'll name you a single-party state, and even those are few and far between. So although I'm prone to deliberate exaggeration on Slugger, in this case it's not really an exaggeration at all! My parents live in South Africa and I visit frequently. The problem is there is no real reason why South Africa shouldn't go the way of others, albeit more slowly. Vibrant media space can soon be chipped away. One stand-out feature, I think, is infrastructure, which enables fast economic exchange and therefore growth, so that is one hope to cling on to. However, the worrying thing is that it only takes one nutter to wreck it all. The even more worrying thing is that, while agreeing with what you say about him, I don't even think MBeki's that nutter! Hector I think you're confusing ethnic nationalism with a state or civic based nationalism. I'm not confusing them, but you are entirely right to draw attention to that distinction. When I referred to 'elites', I meant in government, not in business. There is growing evidence that SA is being governed on behalf of its black elite (not all blacks, just those who happen to be in the right political circle), and that everything is being done to keep that specific elite in power. This is slightly better than doing it on purely racist lines, but the effect ultimately is the same. South Africa has so far avoided the massive white exodus that occured in any otherAfrican country returned to black rule. I'd need stats there before I could agree or disagree with you. But in most cases that exodus was specifically of nationals of the former colonial powers - SA is different as the changeover was not post-independence, therefore you would not expect such an exodus of those associated (or perceived to be specifically protected by) colonial administration. But emmigration rates among whites are significant (census figures on language would indicate this quite clearly).
Posted by: IJP emmigration rates and so were 'emigration rates'...
Posted by: IJP Post a comment
|
Slugger O'Toole records news, commentary and diverse opinion on Northern Ireland. Produced by Mick Fealty News, tips or crits here: mick.fealty -at- gmail.com Topics a long peace?books Britain Conflict Culture Economy Education election 2003 Election 2005 Enviroment environment Europe Gaeilge Glossary Government Highlights Human Rights Humour International Manifesto Media Nationalism Negotiations Parties Policing Soapbox Society Sport the south unionism
Highlights
Out with the crystal ball...Just a Mo... Commenting Policy A backgrounder on the McCartney affair Northern Bank raid and political fallout, so far
Readers comments
More corrupt than last year? - (4)Living on an island or in a state? - (31) a combination of historical ignorance and monumental self-pity - (42) Payout time... - (4) New Lansdowne revealed - (24) Far right 'imagination'... - (13) Nazi comments were a sectarian slur - (3) The price of peacemaking... - (17) belfast metropolitan area plan unveiled - (23) Why (or rather how) Alec Reid was right... - (37)
Archives
October 2005September 2005 August 2005 July 2005 June 2005 May 2005 April 2005 March 2005 February 2005 January 2005 December 2004 November 2004 October 2004 September 2004 July 2004 March 2004 October 2003 September 2003 May 2003 |
|
Design: River Path Associates Comments: Big Blog Co Powered:
Movable Type 3.15 Copyright © 2003 Sluggerotoole.com
All rights reserved.
|
<a href="(URL)">hyperlink</a>
It is important that you include http:// when adding the URL.